I haven´t seen the movie but I seen the trailer. And it looks like a really good movie and I think it might have a pretty big or chance to win. Can´t really say until I watched the movie though which I will do sometime. And I didn´t know the main character was played by Leonardo dicaprio until I saw his name showing up in the trailer. Must be all the facial hair he had.
I give the movie a 90% odds of winning Best Picture of the Year.
I'd say that a movie about a guy getting double crossed, left for dead, and attacked by a bear, will still have difficulty facing off against the fanboys of Star Wars.
you never know, but I think the chances are fairly good.