I was afraid this question would show up, sooner or later.
As for Hurricane Matthew, I hope it stays out to sea and fizzles out.
I went through Irene in 2011 and Sandy in 2012...and after all they put me through, I DON'T want to face another tropical storm for the rest of my life. We need rain, but we don't need a destructive storm like Irene or Sandy.
We were out for about a week to ten days when Sandy struck. At the time, we had no generator and were forced to evacuate to a relative's house who had only a portable gas generator that supplied only limited power. While we have a generator now, I'm concerned what would happen if Matthew should follow a path similar to Sandy. Will our house be able to withstand the strong winds? Will we have significant flooding? Will our generator be destroyed by the storm? I have so many questions and no answers to them. Only time will tell in regards to what will happen. Maybe we'll luck out and Matthew will stay out to sea?
There may be some cause for optimism. Some (most?) of the computer models at the end of the clip show Matthew going out to sea after it hits the Bahamas.
The farther out to sea Matthew goes, the better. Let's hope for it to be pushed out to sea. While we need rain here (we're in a moderate drought), we don't need it from Matthew. The benefits of rainfall would not be worth the destruction Matthew would cause.
If Matthew follows the average (heavy black) line, it should pass NJ about 300 miles out to sea, so there will probably be moderate winds (maybe 20 mph) and some rain.
It's still too early to say for sure what the storm will do. And, even if the center of the storm stays away from the Northeast, we'll still have possible hazardous conditions. Granted, we need some rain, but Matthew could bring flooding (coastal and/or inland), beach erosion, and storm surges.
Yes, it is too early to say for sure, but if the eye of the hurricane follows the white line, it will pass a good 500 miles east of the northeast coast. There might indeed be a lot of rain, but I'd much, much rather have that than 120 mph winds.
I agree somewhat with rather having rain than powerful winds. But, too much rain in a short amount of time will lead to flooding...especially flash flooding, which can be very dangerous and deadly. I suppose the rain might be the lesser of two evils, but there's a fine point between beneficial rain and deadly flooding. I just don't know where that fine point is.
It's beginning to look like we have little to fear from Matthew in the Northeast, either from wind or from rain.
But the updated map above is really looking WEIRD. Now more than half of the models predict Matthew will do a loop, go across Florida, and head southwest for the Gulf of Mexico. I don't remember seeing anything like that before.
This loop is a bit of a concern because it could come back up this way to the Northeast after making the loop. How strong would Matthew be by then, I don't know. But, we can't let our guard down until the storm has fizzled out and is no more.
I hope not, at least not in my backyard. JUST KIDDING! I hope it doesn't hit anywhere. Too soon to say, in any case.
"O Heiliger Sankt Florian,
Verschon' mein Haus -- zünd' and're an."
(an irreverent prayer to St. Florian, protector against fire)
Oh, holy, bless'd St. Florian,
Please spare my house -- burn others down.
Nah ! It'll run into Hurricane Hillary and she'll lie her way out of it! Not happening !
No hurricane can stand up to Hillary's lies, not even Hurricane Comey.
I was afraid this question would show up, sooner or later.
As for Hurricane Matthew, I hope it stays out to sea and fizzles out.
I went through Irene in 2011 and Sandy in 2012...and after all they put me through, I DON'T want to face another tropical storm for the rest of my life. We need rain, but we don't need a destructive storm like Irene or Sandy.
We had no commercial electric power for about a week after Sandy.
Good thing we had a generator.
We were out for about a week to ten days when Sandy struck. At the time, we had no generator and were forced to evacuate to a relative's house who had only a portable gas generator that supplied only limited power. While we have a generator now, I'm concerned what would happen if Matthew should follow a path similar to Sandy. Will our house be able to withstand the strong winds? Will we have significant flooding? Will our generator be destroyed by the storm? I have so many questions and no answers to them. Only time will tell in regards to what will happen. Maybe we'll luck out and Matthew will stay out to sea?
There may be some cause for optimism. Some (most?) of the computer models at the end of the clip show Matthew going out to sea after it hits the Bahamas.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2016/09/30/hurricane-matthew-caribbean/91315598/
As of Sunday, the hurricane models are looking good. Only a few of them predict landfall in the US.
The farther out to sea Matthew goes, the better. Let's hope for it to be pushed out to sea. While we need rain here (we're in a moderate drought), we don't need it from Matthew. The benefits of rainfall would not be worth the destruction Matthew would cause.
If Matthew follows the average (heavy black) line, it should pass NJ about 300 miles out to sea, so there will probably be moderate winds (maybe 20 mph) and some rain.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2016/10/03/hurricane-matthew-usa-impact/91462552/
Here's a new update on Matthew (as of October 3rd).
It's still looking ok for the Northeast, although now it seems likely that the Carolinas will be hit. :-/
It's still too early to say for sure what the storm will do. And, even if the center of the storm stays away from the Northeast, we'll still have possible hazardous conditions. Granted, we need some rain, but Matthew could bring flooding (coastal and/or inland), beach erosion, and storm surges.
Yes, it is too early to say for sure, but if the eye of the hurricane follows the white line, it will pass a good 500 miles east of the northeast coast. There might indeed be a lot of rain, but I'd much, much rather have that than 120 mph winds.
I agree somewhat with rather having rain than powerful winds. But, too much rain in a short amount of time will lead to flooding...especially flash flooding, which can be very dangerous and deadly. I suppose the rain might be the lesser of two evils, but there's a fine point between beneficial rain and deadly flooding. I just don't know where that fine point is.
It's beginning to look like we have little to fear from Matthew in the Northeast, either from wind or from rain.
But the updated map above is really looking WEIRD. Now more than half of the models predict Matthew will do a loop, go across Florida, and head southwest for the Gulf of Mexico. I don't remember seeing anything like that before.
This loop is a bit of a concern because it could come back up this way to the Northeast after making the loop. How strong would Matthew be by then, I don't know. But, we can't let our guard down until the storm has fizzled out and is no more.
I agree, we can't let our guard down, but usually when hurricanes are in the Gulf, they don't get to the Northeast.